Scientist Claims He’s Developed Formula ‘Proving’ Moon Landings Weren’t Faked

by : Tom Percival on : 27 Jan 2016 12:22
General view of the moon tonight seen in Stockport, Greater Manchester.Dave Thompson / PA Archive/PA Images

A scientist has developed an incredible mathematical formula that he claims disproves a number of popular conspiracy theories – including that we faked the Moon landings.

The Independent reports the genius behind the equation is Dr David Grimes, of the University of Oxford. He’s developed a method of showing mathematically that a certain number of people can only keep a secret for a limited amount of time, and as more people become involved, the less time it can remain a secret.


He worked out that if a mysterious government agency wanted to keep a secret for over one hundred years, then their scheme could only involve a maximum of 125 people. However, a plot involving more than 2,521 people could stay covert no longer than five years.

Neil Armstrong on the Moon
Neil Armstrong on the Moon

Despite it looking like Dr Grimes has gone out of his way to dismiss conspiracies he claims the opposite.

He said:


It is common to dismiss conspiracy theories and their proponents out of hand but I wanted to take the opposite approach, to see how these conspiracies might be possible. To do that, I looked at the vital requirement for a viable conspiracy-secrecy.

His equation takes into account the probability of a conspiracy being accidentally revealed or deliberately leaked by a whistle-blower. This was informed by evidence from real conspiracies, including Edward Snowden’s exposure of the NSA Prism project.

The research also examined medical conspiracies and suggested a vaccination conspiracy would have emerged in three years and two months, while a suppressed cancer cure would be exposed in three years and three months.


Dr Grimes added:

A number of conspiracy theories revolve around science. While believing the moon landings were faked may not be harmful, believing misinformation about vaccines can be fatal. However, not every belief in a conspiracy is necessarily wrong – for example, the Snowden revelations confirmed some theories about the activities of the US National Security Agency.

Will this news penetrate through conspiracy theorists’s tin foil hats and manage to change their minds? Probably not…

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Tom Percival

More of a concept than a journalist, Tom Percival was forged in the bowels of Salford University from which he emerged grasping a Masters in journalism. Since then his rise has been described by himself as ‘meteoric’ rising to the esteemed rank of Social Editor at UNILAD as well as working at the BBC, Manchester Evening News, and ITV. He credits his success to three core techniques, name repetition, personality mirroring, and never breaking off a handshake.

Topics: News


The Independent
  1. The Independent

    Faked Moon landing would have been exposed within four years, scientist concludes